# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-03-16 · 16 words · K k:KXMENTION-MADD26MAR16 · as_of 2026-10-27T03:01:51Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-03-16 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMENTION-MADD26MAR16 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
ICE / DHS	dhs|ice	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
Supreme Leader	supreme leader	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	no
Russia / Ukraine	russia|ukraine	0	0			0.46	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.44	hist	no
Putin	putin	0	0			0.4	hist	yes
Election	election	2	0	0	nn	0.36	hist	yes
Save Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	2	0	0	nn	0.32	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	4	0	0	nnnn	0.3	hist	yes
China	china	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Drone	drone	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	0	0			0.41	prior	no
JD / Vance	jd|vance	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Venezuela / Cuba	cuba|venezuela	0	0			0.41	prior	no