# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-03-09 · 16 words · K k:KXMENTION-MADD26MAR09 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:49:06Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-03-09 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMENTION-MADD26MAR09 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
ICE / DHS	dhs|ice	1	0	0			0.34	hist	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	0	0			0.32	hist	yes
Protest / Protester	protest|protester	1	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	2	0	0	nn	0.28	hist	yes
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	1	2	0	0	nn	0.27	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.26	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
Congress / Congressional	congress|congressional	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
Oil	oil	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
Save Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	1	0	0			0.33	prior	no
Stock Market	stock market	1	0	0			0.33	prior	no
Supreme Leader	supreme leader	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes