# Kash Patel (kash-patel) · hearing 2026-03-18 · 17 words · K k:KXMENTION-KASH26MAR18 · as_of 2026-10-24T16:30:07Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-18 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-11-12 (under 2 hearing transcripts) · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMENTION-KASH26MAR18 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kash Patel says {word} as part of Senate Select Committee on Intelligence: Open Hearing: Worldwide Threats, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	tn	th	p	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	yes
Cartel	cartel	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	no
Cyberattack / Cyber Attack	cyber attack|cyberattack	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	no
Drone	drone	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	no
Election	election	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	no
Espionage	espionage	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	0	0		1	1	0.44	yes
Hamas	hama	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	no
ICE / DHS	dhs|ice	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	yes
Iran	iran	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	no
ISIS	isis	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	yes
Mexico / Mexican	mexican|mexico	1	0	0		1	1	0.44	no
Nuclear	nuclear	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0		1	1	0.44	no
Ukraine	ukraine	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	no