# Kash Patel (kash-patel) · hearing 2026-03-19 · 17 words · K k:KXMENTION-KASH26MAR17 · as_of 2026-10-24T17:36:53Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-19 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-11-12 (under 2 hearing transcripts) · same on every row: v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMENTION-KASH26MAR17 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kash Patel says {word} as part of House Intelligence Committee: hearing on the 2026 Annual Worldwide Threats Assessment, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.52	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.52	yes
ICE / DHS	dhs|ice	1	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.52	yes
ISIS	isis	1	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.52	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.52	yes
Cartel	cartel	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.3	yes
Cyberattack / Cyber Attack	cyber attack|cyberattack	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.3	no
Drone	drone	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.3	no
Election	election	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.3	yes
Espionage	espionage	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.3	yes
Hamas	hama	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.3	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.3	no
Iran	iran	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.3	yes
Mexico / Mexican	mexican|mexico	1	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.3	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.3	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.3	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.3	no