# Alex Karp (alex-karp) · podcast_episode 2026-03-12 · 12 words · K k:KXMENTION-KARP26MAR12 · as_of 2026-10-24T14:25:05Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-12 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMENTION-KARP26MAR12 ({word} = w of K rows): If Alex Karp says {word} as part of TBPN Podcast, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
China	china	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	yes
Russia / Ukraine	russia|ukraine	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	0	0			0.43	hist	no
Woke / DEI	dei|woke	0	0			0.27	hist	no
Drone	drone	1	0	0	n	0.26	hist	no
National Security	national security	1	0	0	n	0.26	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	0	0	n	0.26	hist	yes
Anthropic / Claude	anthropic|claude	0	0			0.32	prior	no
ICE / DHS	dhs|ice	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Iran	iran	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Surveillance	surveillance	0	0			0.32	prior	no