# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2026-03-18 · 37 words · K k:KXMENTION-JD26MAR18 · P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-michigan-on-march-18 · as_of 2026-10-24T23:17:11Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-03-18 · tn/th last 2 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-01-08 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMENTION-JD26MAR18 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Remarks in Michigan, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-michigan-on-march-18 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the Michigan visit scheduled for March 18, 2026.
# rows 1-32 of 37 by p · more: offset=32 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Inflation	inflation	1	K	12	10	0.83	nYYYYYnYYY	2	0	0.69	hist	yes
American Dream	american dream	1	KP	15	12	0.8	YYYYYYYYYn	2	0	0.69	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	K	23	18	0.78	YYYYnYnYYn	2	2	0.62	hist	yes
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	1	K	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	2	1	0.6	hist	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	K	13	9	0.69	nYnYnYYYnY	2	2	0.6	hist	yes
Crazy	crazy	1	P	2	2	1	YY	2	1	0.59	hist	yes
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime	tax on overtime|tax on tip	1	K	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	2	0	0.59	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	K	10	6	0.6	YYYnYYnnYn	2	1	0.53	hist	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	1	K	10	6	0.6	YYYYnnnYYn	2	0	0.45	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	K	5	2	0.4	YnnYn	2	1	0.44	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	KP	5	2	0.4	YnnYn	2	0	0.4	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	KP	4	1	0.25	nnnY	2	1	0.4	hist	yes
Terrorism / Terrorist	terrorism|terrorist	1	K	5	2	0.4	nYYnn	2	1	0.39	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	K	7	3	0.43	YYYnnnn	2	1	0.36	hist	no
Fake News	fake new	1	P	9	2	0.22	nnnYnYnnn	2	0	0.34	hist	no
Autism / Autistic	autism|autistic	1	P	0	0			2	0	0.34	hist	no
Ass	ass	1	P	4	1	0.25	nYnn	2	0	0.31	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	K	19	6	0.32	nnnnYnnnYn	2	0	0.3	hist	yes
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	1	P	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	2	0	0.28	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	P	2	0	0	nn	2	0	0.28	hist	no
Inflation 3+ times	inflation#3	3	P	2	0	0	nn	2	0	0.28	hist	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	K	6	1	0.17	nYnnnn	2	1	0.27	hist	yes
American Made / Made in America	american made|made in america	1	K	2	0	0	nn	2	0	0.27	hist	yes
Epic Fury	epic fury	1	KP	3	0	0	nnn	2	0	0.25	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	K	3	0	0	nnn	2	0	0.25	hist	yes
Middle Class / Working Class	middle class|working class	1	K	9	1	0.11	nYnnnnnnn	2	0	0.24	hist	yes
Trillion	trillion	1	P	5	0	0	nnnnn	2	0	0.22	hist	no
ID / Identification	id|identification	1	K	4	0	0	nnnn	2	0	0.22	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	K	14	2	0.14	nnnnnnnnnn	2	1	0.16	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	P	9	0	0	nnnnnnnnn	2	0	0.16	hist	no
Transgender / Radical Left	radical left|transgender	1	P	0	0			2	0	0.13	hist	no
Radical Left	radical left	1	K	19	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	2	0	0.1	hist	no