# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2026-03-13 · 40 words · K k:KXMENTION-JD26MAR12 · P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-at-rocky-mount-on-march-13 · as_of 2026-10-24T02:04:32Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-03-13 · tn/th last 2 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-01-08 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMENTION-JD26MAR12 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Remarks in Rocky Mount, North Carolina, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-at-rocky-mount-on-march-13 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the Rocky Mount visit scheduled for March 13, 2026.
# rows 1-34 of 40 by p · more: offset=34 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
American Dream	american dream	1	K	13	11	0.85	YYYYYYYYYY	2	0	0.76	hist	yes
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime	tax on overtime|tax on tip	1	K	4	4	1	YYYY	2	0	0.71	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	K	21	17	0.81	YYYYYYnYnY	2	2	0.67	hist	yes
Somali / Somalian	somali|somalian	1	P	0	0			2	1	0.58	hist	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	K	12	8	0.67	YnYnYnYYYn	2	2	0.56	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	K	8	5	0.62	YYYnYYnn	2	1	0.55	hist	yes
Border 4+ times	border#4	4	P	1	1	1	Y	2	0	0.52	hist	no
Crazy	crazy	1	P	1	1	1	Y	2	1	0.52	hist	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	1	K	9	6	0.67	YYYYnnnYY	2	0	0.51	hist	no
Midnight Hammer	midnight hammer	1	K	2	1	0.5	nY	2	0	0.47	hist	no
Terrorism / Terrorist	terrorism|terrorist	1	P	4	2	0.5	nYYn	2	1	0.46	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	K	6	3	0.5	YYYnnn	2	1	0.42	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	P	13	5	0.38	YnYYnnnYnY	2	1	0.42	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	K	3	1	0.33	Ynn	2	1	0.42	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	1	P	8	2	0.25	nnnYnYnn	2	0	0.4	hist	no
National Security	national security	1	K	3	1	0.33	Ynn	2	0	0.39	hist	no
Ass	ass	1	P	3	1	0.33	nYn	2	0	0.38	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	KP	3	1	0.33	Ynn	2	0	0.37	hist	yes
Inflation 3+ times	inflation#3	3	P	1	0	0	n	2	0	0.37	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	K	1	0	0	n	2	0	0.36	hist	no
Ayatollah / Khamenei	ayatollah|khamenei	1	P	1	0	0	n	2	0	0.35	hist	no
Made in America	made in america	1	P	0	0			2	0	0.35	hist	no
Made in America / American Made	american made|made in america	1	K	1	0	0	n	2	0	0.34	hist	no
Israel	israel	1	P	7	2	0.29	YnnnYnn	2	0	0.33	hist	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	K	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	2	1	0.33	hist	no
Epic Fury	epic fury	1	KP	2	0	0	nn	2	0	0.31	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	K	2	0	0	nn	2	0	0.31	hist	no
Oil	oil	1	K	2	0	0	nn	2	0	0.31	hist	yes
Middle Class	middle class	1	K	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	2	0	0.29	hist	no
Venezuela / Cuba	cuba|venezuela	1	K	0	0			2	1	0.29	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	1	KP	3	0	0	nnn	2	1	0.28	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	K	17	5	0.29	YnnnnnYnnn	2	0	0.27	hist	yes
ID / Identification	id|identification	1	K	3	0	0	nnn	2	0	0.26	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	K	12	2	0.17	Ynnnnnnnnn	2	1	0.19	hist	no