# Melania Trump (melania-trump) · keynote 2026-03-24 · 36 words · K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-26MAR24 · P p:what-will-melania-say-during-fostering-the-future-together-event-on-march-24 · as_of 2026-10-24T13:49:06Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-03-24 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-26MAR24 ({word} = w of K rows): If Melania Trump says {word} as part of Opening Remarks at the Fostering the Future Together Global Coalition Summit, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-melania-say-during-fostering-the-future-together-event-on-march-24 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melania Trump says the listed term during the Fostering the Future Together event scheduled for March 24, 2026.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Children	children	1	K	3	3	1	YYY	0.56	hist	yes
History / Historic	historic|history	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	yes
Privacy / Security	privacy|security	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	no
Intelligence	intelligence	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.4	hist	no
Peace	peace	1	KP	2	1	0.5	nY	0.4	hist	no
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	1	K	2	1	0.5	nY	0.39	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	KP	5	2	0.4	nnYnY	0.39	hist	yes
Future	future	1	P	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.3	hist	yes
ChatGPT	chatgpt	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.28	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.28	hist	no
School	school	1	K	0	0			0.28	hist	no
Barron	barron	1	K	6	1	0.17	nnnnnY	0.27	hist	no
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	1	K	2	0	0	nn	0.24	hist	no
Take It Down	take it down	1	K	2	0	0	nn	0.24	hist	no
Son / Barron	barron|son	1	P	0	0			0.24	hist	no
Donald	donald	1	K	7	1	0.14	nYnnnnn	0.22	hist	no
250 / 250th	250|250th	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.22	hist	no
Cooperation	cooperation	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.22	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.22	hist	no
Gaza / Palestine	gaza|palestine	1	P	0	0			0.22	hist	no
Husband / Trump	husband|trump	1	P	0	0			0.22	hist	no
Be Best	be best	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	yes
Career	career	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Challenge	challenge	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Ukraine	ukraine	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	yes
Star	star	1	P	2	0	0	nn	0.18	hist	no
Lead / Leader / Leadership	lead|leader|leadership	1	K	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
Community 3+ times	community#3	3	P	0	0			0.26	prior	no
Department of State	department of state	1	P	0	0			0.26	prior	no
Empower / Empowering	empower|empowering	1	P	0	0			0.26	prior	yes
Executive order	executive order	1	P	0	0			0.26	prior	no
First Lady	first lady	1	P	0	0			0.26	prior	no
Foster / Fostering 7+ times	foster|fostering#7	7	P	0	0			0.26	prior	no
Initiative	initiative	1	P	0	0			0.26	prior	yes
Knowledge is power	knowledge is power	1	P	0	0			0.26	prior	no
UN / United Nations	un|united nation	1	P	0	0			0.26	prior	no