# Melania Trump (melania-trump) · speech 2026-03-03 · 13 words · K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-26MAR03 · as_of 2026-10-26T20:39:46Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-03 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-26MAR03 ({word} = w of K rows): If Melania Trump says {word} as part of United Nations Address, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Children	children	2	2	1	YY	0.52	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.3	hist	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	yes
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
Take it Down	take it down	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
Peace / Peaceful	peace|peaceful	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	yes
Robot / Robotics	robot|robotic	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	no
Unify / Unity	unify|unity	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	yes
Foster / Fostering	foster|fostering	2	0	0	nn	0.25	hist	no
Donald	donald	6	1	0.17	nYnnnn	0.24	hist	no
Ukraine / Russia	russia|ukraine	0	0			0.23	hist	no
Iran	iran	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Privacy / Security	privacy|security	0	0			0.36	prior	yes