# Melania Trump (melania-trump) · speech 2026-02-21 · 11 words · K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-26FEB21 · as_of 2026-10-25T15:50:18Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-21 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-26FEB21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Melania Trump says {word} as part of remarks following the presentation of her 2025 inaugural ball gown to the Smithsonian National Museum of American History., then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Inauguration	inauguration	2	2	1	YY	0.5	hist	yes
White House	white house	2	2	1	YY	0.5	hist	no
Amazon	amazon	2	1	0.5	nY	0.37	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.33	hist	no
Documentary	documentary	1	0	0	n	0.26	hist	no
Donald	donald	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.25	hist	no
Beauty / Beautiful	beautiful|beauty	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
Fashion	fashion	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
Herve Pierre	herve pierre	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
History / Historic	historic|history	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
Smithsonian	smithsonian	0	0			0.3	prior	yes