# Melania Trump (melania-trump) · hearing 2026-04-15 · 14 words · K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-26APR15 · as_of 2026-10-25T00:25:46Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-15 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-26APR15 ({word} = w of K rows): If Melania Trump says {word} as part of House Ways and Means Committee Roundtable Discussion , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Children	children	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.62	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	8	4	0.5	nnYnYYYn	0.44	hist	no
Be Best	be best	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.33	hist	no
School	school	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.33	hist	no
Take it Down	take it down	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.31	hist	no
Education	education	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	0.29	hist	yes
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	0.27	hist	yes
Grok / ChatGPT	chatgpt|grok	1	0	0	n	0.27	hist	no
Donald	donald	10	2	0.2	nYnnnnnnnY	0.26	hist	no
Peace	peace	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.26	hist	no
Deepfake	deepfake	1	0	0	n	0.26	hist	no
Barron	barron	8	1	0.12	nnnnnYnn	0.22	hist	no
Foster / Fostering	foster|fostering	4	0	0	nnnn	0.19	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	0	0			0.32	prior	no