# Melania Trump (melania-trump) · remarks 2026-04-09 · 36 words · K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-26APR09 · P p:what-will-melania-say-during-statement-on-april-9 · as_of 2026-10-24T22:55:03Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-04-09 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-26APR09 ({word} = w of K rows): If Melania Trump says {word} as part of Statement by First Lady Melania Trump, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-melania-say-during-statement-on-april-9 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melania Trump says the listed term during the event scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 2:30PM ET.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Children / Minor	children|minor	1	K	0	0			0.6	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	KP	7	4	0.57	nnYnYYY	0.45	hist	no
Empower / Empowering	empower|empowering	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	no
Security / Cybersecurity	cybersecurity|security	1	K	0	0			0.42	hist	no
Be Best	be best	1	P	2	1	0.5	nY	0.37	hist	no
School	school	1	KP	2	1	0.5	nY	0.35	hist	no
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	1	K	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.27	hist	no
Education	education	1	K	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.26	hist	no
Peace	peace	1	K	4	1	0.25	nYnn	0.26	hist	no
Deepfake	deepfake	1	K	0	0			0.23	hist	no
Congress	congress	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.22	hist	yes
Family	family	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.22	hist	no
First Lady	first lady	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Husband / Trump	husband|trump	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	yes
UN / United Nations	un|united nation	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	P	2	0	0	nn	0.2	hist	no
Donald	donald	1	K	9	1	0.11	nYnnnnnnn	0.19	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	P	2	0	0	nn	0.19	hist	no
Foster / Fostering	foster|fostering	1	K	3	0	0	nnn	0.18	hist	no
Challenge	challenge	1	P	2	0	0	nn	0.18	hist	no
ChatGPT	chatgpt	1	K	3	0	0	nnn	0.17	hist	no
Star	star	1	P	3	0	0	nnn	0.16	hist	no
Robot / Robotic / Robotics	robot|robotic	1	K	4	0	0	nnnn	0.15	hist	no
April	april	1	P	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Child / Boy / Girl 6+ times	boy|child|girl#6	6	P	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Danger / Dangerous	danger|dangerous	1	P	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Honor	honor	1	P	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Law / Order	law|order	1	P	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Love	love	1	P	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Movie	movie	1	P	0	0			0.27	prior	no
NATO	nato	1	P	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Peace / War 4+ times	peace|war#4	4	P	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Predator	predator	1	P	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Revenge	revenge	1	P	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Russia / Ukraine 5+ times	russia|ukraine#5	5	P	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Soccer	soccer	1	P	0	0			0.27	prior	no