# Zohran Mamdani (zohran-mamdani) · presser 2026-07-08 · 15 words · K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUL08 · as_of 2026-10-25T01:08:07Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-08 · tn/th last 8 presser transcripts 2026-02-11..2026-06-30 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUL08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of Mayor Mamdani Holds Press Conference with Governor Hochul to Make Transportation Announcement , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	92	58	0.63	YnnYnnYnnY	8	3	0.54	hist	yes
Childcare	childcare	24	11	0.46	nYnYnYYnYn	8	4	0.44	hist	no
Trump / President	president|trump	80	39	0.49	nnnYnnnnnY	8	1	0.43	hist	yes
Bike	bike	0	0			8	1	0.4	hist	yes
Commute / Commuter	commute|commuter	1	0	0	n	8	2	0.39	hist	yes
Election	election	6	2	0.33	YnnnYn	8	0	0.37	hist	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	88	29	0.33	nnnnnnnnYn	8	1	0.35	hist	no
World Cup	world cup	21	5	0.24	nnnnnnnYnY	8	1	0.34	hist	no
NYPD	nypd	91	32	0.35	Ynnnnnnnnn	8	5	0.32	hist	yes
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	24	8	0.33	nnnnYnYnnn	8	0	0.32	hist	no
Free Bus / Fast & Free	fast and free|free bus	28	6	0.21	nnYnYnnnYn	8	1	0.32	hist	yes
Grocery	grocery	38	13	0.34	nnnYnnnnYn	8	2	0.31	hist	no
Billionaire	billionaire	51	4	0.08	nnnnnnnnnn	8	0	0.11	hist	no
Bus Lane	bus lane	0	0			8	0	0.46	prior	yes
Insurance	insurance	0	0			8	0	0.46	prior	no