# Zohran Mamdani (zohran-mamdani) · speech 2026-07-02 · 21 words · K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUL02 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:19:02Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-02 · tn/th last 2 speech transcripts 2026-04-12..2026-06-04 · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUL02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of next NYC Mayor's Office announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Five Borough	five borough	42	33	0.79	YYYYYnYYYY	2	1	0.77	no
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	64	46	0.72	nnYYnYYYnY	2	2	0.59	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	90	57	0.63	nYYnnYnnYn	2	2	0.56	no
Childcare	childcare	23	11	0.48	nnYnYnYYnY	2	2	0.53	no
Budget / Deficit	budget|deficit	50	28	0.56	nYnnnnnnYY	2	1	0.5	no
Socialism / Socialist	socialism|socialist	22	8	0.36	YYnnnnYnYn	2	1	0.42	no
Ballroom / Pool	ballroom|pool	0	0			2	0	0.42	no
Trump / President	president|trump	78	38	0.49	nnnnnYnnnn	2	1	0.41	no
ICE	ice	10	4	0.4	nnYYnYYnnn	2	1	0.41	yes
Knicks	knick	13	4	0.31	nnnnnnnYYY	2	2	0.41	no
Election	election	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	2	0	0.35	yes
Free Bus / Fast & Free	fast and free|free bus	27	6	0.22	nnnYnYnnnY	2	1	0.35	no
Grocery	grocery	37	13	0.35	nnnnYnnnnY	2	2	0.34	no
World Cup	world cup	19	4	0.21	YnnnnnnnnY	2	1	0.32	no
NYPD	nypd	89	32	0.36	nnYnnnnnnn	2	1	0.31	no
Equality / Inequality	equality|inequality	4	0	0	nnnn	2	0	0.3	no
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	86	28	0.33	nnnnnnnnnn	2	1	0.28	yes
Albany	albany	18	3	0.17	nnnnnnnnnn	2	1	0.22	no
Muslim / Islam	islam|muslim	20	2	0.1	nnnnnnnnnY	2	1	0.22	yes
Billionaire	billionaire	49	4	0.08	nnnnnnnnnn	2	0	0.2	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	25	1	0.04	nnnnnnnnnn	2	1	0.16	no