# Zohran Mamdani (zohran-mamdani) · speech 2026-01-02 · 16 words · K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-26JAN02 · as_of 2026-10-24T19:20:59Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-02 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-26JAN02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of ceremonial inauguration at City Hall on January 1st, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Grocery	grocery	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.72	no
Trump	trump	3	3	1	YYY	0.62	yes
NYPD	nypd	2	2	1	YY	0.58	no
Queens	queen	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.52	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	1	1	1	Y	0.51	yes
Eric / Adams	adam|eric	1	1	1	Y	0.5	yes
Socialism / Socialist	socialism|socialist	5	3	0.6	YYYnn	0.48	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	0	0			0.47	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	2	1	0.5	nY	0.44	yes
Billionaire	billionaire	6	2	0.33	YnYnnn	0.39	yes
Inflation	inflation	1	0	0	n	0.35	no
Rat	rat	1	0	0	n	0.35	no
Fascism / Fascist	fascism|fascist	2	0	0	nn	0.31	no
Bernie / Sanders	bernie|sander	2	0	0	nn	0.29	yes
Economy	economy	3	0	0	nnn	0.27	no
Kathy / Hochul	hochul|kathy	4	0	0	nnnn	0.23	yes