# Zohran Mamdani (zohran-mamdani) · remarks 2026-08-12 · 16 words · K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-26AUG12 · as_of 2026-10-24T10:07:14Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-08-12 · tn/th last 8 remarks transcripts 2026-08-03..2026-08-10 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-26AUG12 ({word} = w of K rows): If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of next NYC Mayor's Office announcement , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Five Borough	five borough	60	45	0.75	YYYYYYnYnn	8	3	0.7	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	109	73	0.67	YYYYYYYnYY	8	4	0.67	hist	yes
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	70	50	0.71	YYnYnYnYYY	8	5	0.62	hist	yes
Heat / Weather	heat|weather	2	1	0.5	Yn	8	4	0.51	hist	no
Trump / President	president|trump	97	49	0.51	YYnYYnnnYY	8	5	0.47	hist	yes
Governor / Hochul	governor|hochul	72	33	0.46	YnnnYnnnYn	8	2	0.44	hist	yes
Childcare	childcare	40	15	0.38	nnnnYnYnnn	8	2	0.35	hist	no
NYPD	nypd	108	39	0.36	nYnYnYnnYY	8	3	0.34	hist	no
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	105	35	0.33	YYnnnnnnYn	8	1	0.32	hist	yes
Free Bus / Fast & Free	fast and free|free bus	31	7	0.23	nYnnnYnYnn	8	1	0.24	hist	no
Grocery	grocery	46	14	0.3	YnnYnnnnnn	8	1	0.2	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	16	1	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	8	0	0.13	hist	no
Billionaire	billionaire	68	4	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	8	0	0.05	hist	no
Deport / Deported / Deportation	deport|deportation|deported	0	0			8	0	0.37	prior	no
Sanctuary	sanctuary	0	0			8	0	0.37	prior	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	0	0			8	1	0.37	prior	no