# Zohran Mamdani (zohran-mamdani) · tv_episode 2025-10-28 · 18 words · K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-25OCT28 · as_of 2026-10-24T10:07:14Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-28 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-25OCT28 ({word} = w of K rows): If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of The Daily Show on October 27th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	2	2	1	YY	0.55	hist	no
Billionaire	billionaire	1	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	no
Grocery (2+ times)	grocery#2	2	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	no
Immigrant	immigrant	1	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.48	hist	no
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	1	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	yes
Cuomo	cuomo	1	0	0			0.47	hist	yes
Homeless	homeless	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.41	hist	yes
ICE	ice	1	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	no
Economy	economy	1	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
Inequality	inequality	1	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Bernie	bernie	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Free Bus	free bus	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Kalshi	kalshi	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
King	king	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
National Guard	national guard	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Rat	rat	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no