# Zohran Mamdani (zohran-mamdani) · speech 2025-11-05 · 12 words · K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-25NOV30 · as_of 2026-10-27T01:39:21Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-05 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-25NOV30 ({word} = w of K rows): If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of victory / concession speech, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Grocery	grocery	2	2	1	YY	0.55	hist	yes
Queens	queen	2	2	1	YY	0.55	hist	no
Billionaire	billionaire	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.4	hist	yes
Free Bus	free bus	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
Kathy / Hochul	hochul|kathy	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
Bernie / Sanders	bernie|sander	0	0			0.3	hist	no
Inequality	inequality	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	no
Doubt / Doubted	doubt|doubted	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Five Boroughs	five borough	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Islamophobia	islamophobia	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
NYPD / Police	nypd|police	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Promise	promise	0	0			0.36	prior	yes