# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-05-25 · 18 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26MAY25 · as_of 2026-10-27T06:32:19Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-05-25 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26MAY25 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p
Election	election	9	7	0.78	nnYYYYYYY	0.61
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	4	4	1	YYYY	0.55
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	14	8	0.57	YYYYYYnnYY	0.54
Ballroom	ballroom	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.49
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	8	5	0.62	YnYYnYYn	0.48
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	1	1	Y	0.47
Prison / Camp	camp|prison	1	1	1	Y	0.47
Epstein	epstein	13	3	0.23	nnnnYnnnYn	0.33
Cuba / Cuban	cuba|cuban	1	0	0	n	0.33
Healthcare	healthcare	1	0	0	n	0.33
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0	n	0.33
Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting	redistrict|redistricted|redistricting	1	0	0	n	0.33
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.31
Ceasefire	ceasefire	6	1	0.17	nYnnnn	0.28
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	6	1	0.17	Ynnnnn	0.26
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	4	0	0	nnnn	0.25
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.22
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.22