# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-05-18 · 18 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26MAY18 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:36:09Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-05-18 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26MAY18 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Election	election	8	6	0.75	nnYYYYYY	0.59	hist	yes
Ballroom	ballroom	3	3	1	YYY	0.57	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	7	5	0.71	YnYYnYY	0.54	hist	no
Prison / Camp	camp|prison	0	0			0.53	hist	yes
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	3	3	1	YYY	0.51	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	13	7	0.54	nYYYYYYnnY	0.51	hist	yes
Cuba / Cuban	cuba|cuban	0	0			0.37	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	12	3	0.25	YnnnnYnnnY	0.36	hist	no
Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting	redistrict|redistricted|redistricting	0	0			0.36	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.35	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.31	hist	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.28	hist	no
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	3	0	0	nnn	0.28	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.24	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.23	hist	no
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	0	0			0.39	prior	no