# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-05-04 · 18 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26MAY04 · as_of 2026-10-24T10:07:14Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-05-04 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26MAY04 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	11	6	0.55	nnnYYYYYYn	0.53	no
Ballroom	ballroom	1	1	1	Y	0.5	yes
Kimmel	kimmel	1	1	1	Y	0.5	no
Secret Service	secret service	1	1	1	Y	0.5	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	5	3	0.6	YnYYn	0.47	yes
Ceasefire	ceasefire	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.39	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.36	no
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	1	0	0	n	0.36	no
Gold Card	gold card	1	0	0	n	0.36	no
Kash / Patel	kash|patel	1	0	0	n	0.36	no
Lincoln	lincoln	1	0	0	n	0.36	no
Manifesto	manifesto	1	0	0	n	0.36	no
Powell	powell	1	0	0	n	0.36	no
Prediction Market	prediction market	1	0	0	n	0.36	no
Epstein	epstein	10	2	0.2	nnYnnnnYnn	0.32	no
Blockade	blockade	2	0	0	nn	0.32	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	4	0	0	nnnn	0.29	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	4	0	0	nnnn	0.28	no