# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-03-30 · 19 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26MAR30 · as_of 2026-10-25T21:23:45Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-03-30 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26MAR30 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of The Rachel Maddow Show, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Hormuz	hormuz	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.6	hist	yes
Russia	russia	1	0	0			0.54	hist	yes
Election	election	1	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.52	hist	yes
TSA	tsa	1	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	no
Prison / Jail	jail|prison	1	0	0			0.51	hist	yes
JD / Vance	jd|vance	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.46	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	6	2	0.33	nnnnYY	0.46	hist	yes
Mask / Masked	mask|masked	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.45	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	0	0			0.44	hist	yes
Cuba	cuba	1	0	0			0.4	hist	yes
Venezuela / Maduro	maduro|venezuela	1	0	0			0.4	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	5	1	0.2	nnYnn	0.36	hist	no
China	china	1	2	0	0	nn	0.33	hist	no
App	app	1	0	0			0.43	prior	no
CPAC	cpac	1	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Insider	insider	1	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Melania	melania	1	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	0	0			0.43	prior	yes