# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-03-23 · 19 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26MAR23 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:58:58Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-03-23 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26MAR23 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Hormuz	hormuz	2	2	1	YY	0.54	hist	yes
ICE / DHS	dhs|ice	2	2	1	YY	0.54	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	no
Russia / Ukraine	russia|ukraine	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	yes
Prison / Prisoner	prison|prisoner	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	yes
Election	election	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.44	hist	yes
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.42	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.38	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	5	1	0.2	nnnnY	0.38	hist	yes
China	china	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Drone	drone	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
JD / Vance	jd|vance	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	yes
Airport	airport	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Hegseth	hegseth	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Inflation	inflation	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Keir / Starmer	keir|starmer	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Tariff	tariff	0	0			0.4	prior	no
TSA	tsa	0	0			0.4	prior	yes