# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-06-29 · 15 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUN29 · as_of 2026-10-25T03:52:46Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-06-29 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUN29 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Election	election	1	12	9	0.75	YYYYYYYnYY	0.57	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	19	11	0.58	YnnYYnnYYY	0.54	hist	yes
ICE	ice	1	2	2	1	YY	0.46	hist	yes
250	250	1	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	yes
Reflecting / Pool	pool|reflecting	1	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	yes
Ballroom	ballroom	1	9	5	0.56	YYYnnnYnY	0.45	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	13	7	0.54	YnYYnnnnYY	0.45	hist	yes
Obama	obama	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.45	hist	no
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	1	9	5	0.56	YYYYnYnnn	0.36	hist	yes
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.34	hist	no
Iran (5+ times)	iran#5	5	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	12	1	0.08	nnnnnnnnYn	0.27	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	12	1	0.08	nnnnnnnnYn	0.27	hist	no
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	1	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Zohran / Mamdani	mamdani|zohran	1	0	0			0.38	prior	no