# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-06-22 · 15 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUN22 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:00:51Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-06-22 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUN22 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Election	election	1	11	8	0.73	nYYYYYYYnY	0.54	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	18	10	0.56	YYnnYYnnYY	0.51	hist	yes
JD / Vance	jd|vance	1	6	3	0.5	nYnnYY	0.45	hist	no
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	1	8	5	0.62	YYYYnYnn	0.4	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	12	6	0.5	YYnYYnnnnY	0.4	hist	yes
Ballroom	ballroom	1	8	4	0.5	YYYnnnYn	0.39	hist	yes
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.39	hist	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.38	hist	no
ICE	ice	1	1	1	1	Y	0.37	hist	yes
Obama	obama	1	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	11	1	0.09	nnnnnnnnnY	0.28	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	11	1	0.09	nnnnnnnnnY	0.28	hist	no
250	250	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Iran (5+ times)	iran#5	5	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Reflecting / Pool	pool|reflecting	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes