# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-06-15 · 17 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUN15 · as_of 2026-10-24T14:05:38Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-06-15 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUN15 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Prison / Camp	camp|prison	1	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.5	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	1	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.49	yes
ICE / DHS	dhs|ice	1	4	4	1	YYYY	0.49	yes
Election	election	1	10	7	0.7	nnYYYYYYYn	0.49	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	17	9	0.53	YYYnnYYnnY	0.46	yes
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	1	7	5	0.71	YYYYnYn	0.44	no
Ballroom	ballroom	1	7	4	0.57	YYYnnnY	0.42	no
UFC	ufc	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.4	no
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.38	yes
JD / Vance	jd|vance	1	5	2	0.4	nYnnY	0.37	yes
Michelle / Obama	michelle|obama	1	0	0			0.35	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	11	5	0.45	nYYnYYnnnn	0.34	yes
Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization	weaponization|weaponize|weaponized	1	1	0	0	n	0.31	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	2	0	0	nn	0.27	yes
Epstein	epstein	1	16	3	0.19	nYnnnYnnnn	0.25	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	10	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.19	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	10	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.19	yes