# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-06-01 · 15 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUN01 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:11:44Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-06-01 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUN01 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	15	8	0.53	YYYYYnnYYn	0.47	hist	no
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.46	hist	yes
Ballroom	ballroom	5	3	0.6	YYYnn	0.42	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	9	5	0.56	YnYYnYYnn	0.42	hist	no
Prison / Camp	camp|prison	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.39	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	0	0			0.34	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	14	3	0.21	nnnYnnnYnn	0.29	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	2	0	0	nn	0.28	hist	no
Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting	redistrict|redistricted|redistricting	2	0	0	nn	0.28	hist	no
Afford / Affordability / Affordable	afford|affordability|affordable	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.27	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	7	1	0.14	nYnnnnn	0.25	hist	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	7	1	0.14	Ynnnnnn	0.23	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.2	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.2	hist	no
UFC	ufc	0	0			0.36	prior	no