# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-07-20 · 15 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUL20 · as_of 2026-10-25T03:14:32Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-07-20 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUL20 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	22	13	0.59	YYnnYYYYYn	0.52	hist	no
ICE	ice	1	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	0.49	hist	yes
Iran (3 + times)	iran#3	3	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.45	hist	yes
Ballroom / Pool	ballroom|pool	1	0	0			0.45	hist	yes
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	1	12	7	0.58	YYnYnnnYnY	0.43	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	16	8	0.5	YnnnnYYYnn	0.4	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.3	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	7	1	0.14	Ynnnnnn	0.28	hist	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	9	1	0.11	Ynnnnnnnn	0.26	hist	yes
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	10	1	0.1	nYnnnnnnnn	0.24	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	15	1	0.07	nnnnnYnnnn	0.23	hist	no
Blanche	blanche	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Maine	maine	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
World Cup	world cup	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no