# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-07-13 · 14 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUL13 · as_of 2026-10-27T04:30:05Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-07-13 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUL13 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	21	13	0.62	nYYnnYYYYY	0.58	hist	no
250	250	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.55	hist	no
Election	election	1	14	10	0.71	YYYYYnYYYn	0.52	hist	yes
ICE	ice	1	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.44	hist	yes
Reflecting / Pool	pool|reflecting	1	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.44	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	15	8	0.53	YYnnnnYYYn	0.44	hist	no
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.38	hist	yes
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	1	11	6	0.55	YYYnYnnnYn	0.37	hist	yes
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	1	2	0	0	nn	0.28	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	9	1	0.11	nYnnnnnnn	0.26	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	14	1	0.07	nnnnnnYnnn	0.24	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	14	1	0.07	nnnnnnYnnn	0.23	hist	no
Billionaire	billionaire	1	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Graham / Platner	graham|platner	1	0	0			0.36	prior	yes