# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-07-06 · 14 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUL06 · as_of 2026-10-24T12:43:16Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-07-06 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUL06 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Election	election	1	13	10	0.77	YYYYYYnYYY	0.6	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	20	12	0.6	nnYYnnYYYY	0.57	yes
ICE	ice	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.52	no
250	250	1	2	2	1	YY	0.52	yes
Reflecting / Pool	pool|reflecting	1	2	2	1	YY	0.52	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	14	8	0.57	nYYnnnnYYY	0.5	no
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	2	2	1	YY	0.46	no
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	1	10	6	0.6	YYYYnYnnnY	0.42	no
Ballroom	ballroom	1	10	5	0.5	YYYnnnYnYn	0.4	no
Turkey	turkey	1	1	0	0	n	0.38	yes
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	1	1	0	0	n	0.33	no
Zohran / Mamdani	mamdani|zohran	1	1	0	0	n	0.33	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	13	1	0.08	nnnnnnnYnn	0.26	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	13	1	0.08	nnnnnnnYnn	0.25	no