# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-08-03 · 15 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26AUG03 · as_of 2026-10-24T13:34:49Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-08-03 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26AUG03 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
ICE	ice	1	6	5	0.83	YYYnYY	0.53	hist	yes
Election	election	1	15	11	0.73	YYYYnYYYnY	0.53	hist	yes
Iran (3 + times)	iran#3	3	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	0.5	hist	yes
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	1	13	8	0.62	YnYnnnYnYY	0.47	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	23	13	0.57	YnnYYYYYnn	0.46	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	17	9	0.53	nnnnYYYnnY	0.45	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.4	hist	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	10	2	0.2	YnnnnnnnnY	0.36	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	11	2	0.18	YnnnnnnnnY	0.34	hist	no
Blanche	blanche	1	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	8	1	0.12	Ynnnnnnn	0.26	hist	no
Cornyn	cornyn	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Fauci	fauci	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
IRS	irs	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Primary	primary	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes