# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-04-27 · 18 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26APR27 · as_of 2026-10-24T10:43:11Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-04-27 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26APR27 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	10	6	0.6	nnnnYYYYYY	0.62	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.55	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	2	1	0.5	nY	0.47	hist	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.42	hist	no
Blockade	blockade	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	9	2	0.22	nnYnnnnYn	0.36	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	3	0	0	nnn	0.31	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Gold Card	gold card	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Kash / Patel	kash|patel	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Kimmel	kimmel	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Lincoln	lincoln	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Manifesto	manifesto	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Powell	powell	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Prediction Market	prediction market	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Secret Service	secret service	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
SPLC / Southern Poverty Law Center	southern poverty law center|splc	0	0			0.44	prior	no