# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-04-20 · 13 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26APR20 · as_of 2026-10-24T08:55:39Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-04-20 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26APR20 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Prison / Jail	jail|prison	3	3	1	YYY	0.61	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	9	5	0.56	nnnnYYYYY	0.6	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	3	3	1	YYY	0.59	hist	no
Orban	orban	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.51	hist	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	1	1	Y	0.5	hist	no
NATO	nato	2	1	0.5	nY	0.47	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	8	2	0.25	nnYnnnnY	0.39	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	2	0	0	nn	0.35	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	3	0	0	nnn	0.32	hist	no
Blockade	blockade	0	0			0.45	prior	no