# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-04-06 · 19 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26APR06B · as_of 2026-10-24T07:58:31Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-04-06 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26APR06B ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Hormuz	hormuz	1	4	4	1	YYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Election	election	1	5	3	0.6	nnYYY	0.56	hist	yes
Cuba	cuba	1	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	no
Prison / Jail	jail|prison	1	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	yes
Russia	russia	1	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	yes
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	7	3	0.43	nnnnYYY	0.51	hist	yes
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	1	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	yes
TSA	tsa	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.44	hist	no
JD / Vance	jd|vance	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.4	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Venezuela / Maduro	maduro|venezuela	1	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	6	1	0.17	nnYnnn	0.33	hist	no
China	china	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.3	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Allah	allah	1	0	0			0.43	prior	no
NATO	nato	1	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Rescue / Rescued	rescue|rescued	1	0	0			0.43	prior	yes