# Howard Lutnick (howard-lutnick) · keynote 2026-02-04 · 12 words · K k:KXLUTNICKFTNMENTION-26FEB04 · as_of 2026-10-24T17:20:02Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-04 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLUTNICKFTNMENTION-26FEB04 ({word} = w of K rows): If Howard Lutnick says {word} as part of Securing Critical Mineral Supply Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist	no
China	china	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist	no
Davos	davo	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Domestic	domestic	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Invested / Investment	invested|investment	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Manufacturing / Manufacture	manufacture|manufacturing	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
National Security	national security	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Stake	stake	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Trillion	trillion	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Trump	trump	0	0			0.32	prior	yes