# Howard Lutnick (howard-lutnick) · hearing 2026-04-23 · 15 words · K k:KXLUTNICKFTNMENTION-26APR23 · as_of 2026-10-24T07:58:31Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-23 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLUTNICKFTNMENTION-26APR23 ({word} = w of K rows): If Howard Lutnick says {word} as part of Budget Hearing - Department of Commerce , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Tariff	tariff	1	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.51	hist	yes
Japan	japan	1	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
Manufacture / Manufacturing	manufacture|manufacturing	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.4	hist	yes
National Security	national security	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.4	hist	yes
Canada	canada	1	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	2	0	0	nn	0.29	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.25	hist	yes
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
NOAA / National Weather Service	national weather service|noaa	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes