# Howard Lutnick (howard-lutnick) · keynote 2026-04-17 · 13 words · K k:KXLUTNICKFTNMENTION-26APR17 · as_of 2026-10-25T05:17:11Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-17 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLUTNICKFTNMENTION-26APR17 ({word} = w of K rows): If Howard Lutnick says {word} as part of Reimagining Global Economic Levers | Semafor World Economy 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Manufacture / Manufacturing	manufacture|manufacturing	1	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	no
National Security	national security	1	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	no
Trillion	trillion	1	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.48	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	0	0			0.46	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	2	0	0	nn	0.3	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Democrat	democrat	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Japan 	japan	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0			0.4	prior	yes