# Love Island USA (love-island-usa) · tv_episode 2026-06-30 · 32 words · K k:KXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUN30 · P p:what-will-be-said-during-love-island-usa-episode-25-20260625222855211 · as_of 2026-10-24T19:26:45Z
# scope K contestants_ex_host; P anyone · n/y settled before 2026-06-30 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUN30 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating contestant (excluding host) says {word} as part of Love Island USA Season 8 Episode 25 , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-be-said-during-love-island-usa-episode-25-20260625222855211 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Love Island USA.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Casa 5+ times	casa#5	5	P	4	4	1	YYYY	0.68	yes
Chat	chat	1	P	4	4	1	YYYY	0.68	yes
Date / Dating	date|dating	1	KP	20	17	0.85	YYnYnYYYYY	0.6	yes
Genuine	genuine	1	P	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	0.55	yes
Casa Amor	casa amor	1	K	20	6	0.3	nnnnYYYYYY	0.54	yes
Enough	enough	1	P	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.52	yes
Player	player	1	P	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.47	no
Red Flag	red flag	1	P	7	3	0.43	YnnYnYn	0.47	no
Drama	drama	1	KP	23	11	0.48	nnnnnYYYYY	0.46	no
Hideaway	hideaway	1	K	18	6	0.33	YYYnnYYYnn	0.45	no
Messy	messy	1	KP	14	9	0.64	nYYnnnnYYY	0.43	yes
Bombshell	bombshell	1	K	20	15	0.75	YYYYYYnnnn	0.42	yes
Ick	ick	1	K	20	5	0.25	nnnnnYYnYn	0.41	no
Marry / Married	married|marry	1	P	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	0.37	no
Instagram	instagram	1	P	5	1	0.2	nnYnn	0.34	yes
Fiji	fiji	1	K	18	4	0.22	nnnnnYnnYn	0.33	no
Where's your head at / Where is your head at	where is your head at|where's your head at	1	K	8	3	0.38	YnnnYnnY	0.28	no
Pull you for a chat	pull you for a chat	1	K	17	9	0.53	YYnYnnnnnY	0.27	yes
Ex	ex	1	K	18	6	0.33	YnnnnYnnnn	0.25	no
IG / Instagram / TikTok	ig|instagram|tiktok	1	K	18	3	0.17	nnnnnnnYnn	0.25	yes
Heartbroken / Heartbreak	heartbreak|heartbroken	1	K	14	1	0.07	nnnnnnnYnn	0.24	no
Dump / Dumped	dump|dumped	1	K	18	3	0.17	nnnYYnnnnn	0.23	no
Firepit	firepit	1	K	18	5	0.28	nnnnYnnnnn	0.21	no
Betray 3+ times	betray#3	3	P	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.21	no
Bombshell 5+ times	bombshell#5	5	P	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.21	no
Influencer	influencer	1	P	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.21	no
Snake	snake	1	P	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.21	no
Vibe 5+ times	vibe#5	5	P	4	0	0	nnnn	0.21	no
Loyal / Loyalty	loyal|loyalty	1	KP	21	5	0.24	nnnnnnYnnY	0.2	no
Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal	betray|betrayal|betrayed	1	K	14	1	0.07	nnnnYnnnnn	0.19	no
Marry / Married / Marriage	marriage|married|marry	1	K	11	1	0.09	nnnYnnnnnn	0.18	no
Prize / 100k / 100,000	100 000|100k|prize	1	K	18	1	0.06	nnnnnnnnnY	0.13	no