# Love Island USA (love-island-usa) · tv_episode 2026-06-22 · 19 words · K k:KXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUN22 · as_of 2026-10-24T07:47:42Z
# scope K contestants_ex_host · n/y settled before 2026-06-22 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUN22 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating contestant (excluding host) says {word} as part of Love Island USA Season 8 Episode 18 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bombshell	bombshell	16	15	0.94	YYYYYYYYYY	0.72	no
Date / Dating	date|dating	13	11	0.85	YYYYYnYYYn	0.66	yes
Messy	messy	7	6	0.86	YYYYnYY	0.6	no
Hideaway	hideaway	14	4	0.29	nnnnYYYnnY	0.42	yes
Pull you for a chat	pull you for a chat	13	8	0.62	nYYYYYnYnn	0.41	no
Ex	ex	14	6	0.43	YYYnYnnnnY	0.38	no
Casa Amor	casa amor	16	2	0.12	nnnnnnnnYY	0.37	yes
Drama	drama	16	6	0.38	YYnnYnYnnn	0.34	no
Firepit	firepit	14	5	0.36	nYnnnnnnYn	0.33	no
Dump / Dumped	dump|dumped	14	3	0.21	nnnnnnnYYn	0.33	no
Fiji	fiji	14	3	0.21	nnnnnnnnnY	0.29	no
Ick	ick	16	3	0.19	nnnnnnnnnY	0.28	yes
Where's your head at / Where is your head at	where is your head at|where's your head at	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.26	yes
Marry / Married / Marriage	marriage|married|marry	7	1	0.14	nnnnYnn	0.25	no
Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal	betray|betrayal|betrayed	10	1	0.1	nnnnnnnnYn	0.25	no
Loyal / Loyalty	loyal|loyalty	14	3	0.21	nnYnnnnnnn	0.19	no
IG / Instagram / TikTok	ig|instagram|tiktok	14	2	0.14	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.17	no
Prize / 100k / 100,000	100 000|100k|prize	14	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.14	no
Heartbroken / Heartbreak	heartbreak|heartbroken	10	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.14	no