# The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon (the-tonight-show-starring-jimmy-fallon) · tv_episode 2025-12-18 · 10 words · K k:KXLATENIGHTMENTION-25DEC18 · as_of 2026-10-24T23:23:02Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-18 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLATENIGHTMENTION-25DEC18 ({word} = w of K rows): If Timothée Chalamet says {word} as part of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Adam Sandler	adam sandler	0	0		0.27	no
Bob Dylan	bob dylan	0	0		0.27	yes
Dune	dune	0	0		0.27	no
EsDeeKid	esdeekid	0	0		0.27	no
Kylie	kylie	0	0		0.27	no
London / Paris	london|paris	0	0		0.27	no
Marty	marty	0	0		0.27	yes
New York / Knicks	knick|new york	0	0		0.27	yes
Ping Pong	ping pong	0	0		0.27	no
Rap / Rapper / Rapping	rap|rapper|rapping	0	0		0.27	no