# The Last Word (the-last-word) · tv_episode 2026-05-26 · 15 words · K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26MAY26 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:41:47Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-26 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26MAY26 ({word} = w of K rows): If James Talarico says {word} as part of The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Republican	republican	24	10	0.42	YnnnYnnYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Trump	trump	26	19	0.73	nYYYnYYYYY	0.61	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	0.46	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	11	6	0.55	nnnYYYYYnn	0.45	hist	yes
Billionaire	billionaire	2	0	0	nn	0.45	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	6	3	0.5	nYnnYY	0.43	hist	yes
Midterm	midterm	0	0			0.39	hist	no
Border	border	0	0			0.37	hist	yes
ICE / TSA	ice|tsa	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting	redistrict|redistricted|redistricting	3	0	0	nnn	0.29	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	16	3	0.19	nnnnnYYnnn	0.28	hist	yes
Jesus / God	god|jesus	0	0			0.49	prior	no
AIPAC / Super PAC	aipac|super pac	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement	endorse|endorsed|endorsement	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Obama	obama	0	0			0.39	prior	no