# The Last Word (the-last-word) · tv_episode 2026-05-12 · 10 words · K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26MAY12 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:41:47Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-12 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26MAY12 ({word} = w of K rows): If Tammy Baldwin says {word} as part of The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	23	16	0.7	YnnnYYYnYY	0.53	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	7	4	0.57	YnnnYYY	0.46	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	yes
Republican	republican	20	7	0.35	nnYnYnnnYn	0.35	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.34	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	12	2	0.17	YnnnnnnnnY	0.29	hist	yes
Ballroom / Pool	ballroom|pool	0	0			0.36	prior	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Farmer	farmer	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
SNAP / Food Stamp	food stamp|snap	0	0			0.36	prior	yes