# The Last Word (the-last-word) · tv_episode 2026-06-25 · 12 words · K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUN25 · as_of 2026-10-25T04:02:51Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-25 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUN25 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jamie Raskin says {word} as part of The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.65	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	1	17	11	0.65	YnYYnYnYYY	0.56	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	24	11	0.46	YYYYnnnnYY	0.51	hist	no
Republican	republican	1	33	16	0.48	YYYnYYYnYn	0.44	hist	yes
Blanche	blanche	1	0	0			0.43	hist	yes
Election	election	1	16	6	0.38	nnnYYnYYYn	0.39	hist	yes
Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization	weaponization|weaponize|weaponized	1	0	0			0.38	hist	no
Ballroom / Pool	ballroom|pool	1	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	19	9	0.47	nnYYnnYnnn	0.33	hist	no
Afford / Affordability / Affordable	afford|affordability|affordable	1	22	5	0.23	YnnnYnnnnY	0.29	hist	no
ICE	ice	1	6	1	0.17	nnnnYn	0.29	hist	no
Slush Fund	slush fund	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes