# The Last Word (the-last-word) · tv_episode 2026-06-15 · 10 words · K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUN15 · as_of 2026-10-24T11:28:19Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-15 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUN15 ({word} = w of K rows): If Raphael Warnock says {word} as part of The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Republican	republican	1	30	15	0.5	nYYYYYnYYY	0.63	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	4	4	1	YYYY	0.61	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	10	5	0.5	nYnnYYYYnn	0.51	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	17	9	0.53	YYnnYYnnYn	0.5	no
Election	election	1	14	5	0.36	nnnnnYYnYY	0.46	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	21	9	0.43	YYYYYYYnnn	0.42	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	2	2	1	YY	0.41	no
Fraud	fraud	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.41	no
Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted	redistrict|redistricted|redistricting	1	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.27	no
ICE	ice	1	4	0	0	nnnn	0.27	yes