# The Last Word (the-last-word) · tv_episode 2026-07-21 · 11 words · K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUL21 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:51:55Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-21 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUL21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Katie Hobbs says {word} as part of The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	10	8	0.8	YYYYYYYnnY	0.54	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	15	9	0.6	YYnnYnnYnY	0.47	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	17	7	0.41	YnnnnYnnnY	0.38	hist	yes
Election Denier	election denier	1	0	0			0.35	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	28	6	0.21	nnnYnnnnnY	0.3	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	7	1	0.14	nYnnnnn	0.26	hist	no
ICE	ice	1	10	1	0.1	nnnnYnnnnn	0.25	hist	no
Abortion	abortion	1	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Andy / Biggs	andy|bigg	1	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
SAVE America Act / SAVE Act	save act|save america act	1	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Washington	washington	1	0	0			0.38	prior	yes