# The Last Word (the-last-word) · tv_episode 2026-07-15 · 11 words · K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUL15 · as_of 2026-10-25T06:02:55Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-15 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUL15 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mark Kelly says {word} as part of The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	7	7	1	YYYYYYY	0.69	no
Republican	republican	1	36	18	0.5	nYYYnYnYYn	0.56	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	14	6	0.43	YYYYnnnnYn	0.49	no
Election	election	1	18	8	0.44	nYYnYYYnYY	0.46	yes
Home / Housing	home|housing	1	2	2	1	YY	0.4	no
Iran	iran	1	10	3	0.3	nnnnYYnnnY	0.38	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	25	5	0.2	nYnnnnYnnn	0.36	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	2	0	0	nn	0.34	no
ICE	ice	1	8	1	0.12	nnnnYnnn	0.27	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.27	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	21	9	0.43	YYnnYnnnnn	0.26	no