# The Last Word (the-last-word) · tv_episode 2026-08-11 · 11 words · K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26AUG11 · as_of 2026-10-26T20:45:28Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-08-11 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26AUG11 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jamie Raskin says {word} as part of The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Election	election	1	23	12	0.52	YYnYYYYYYn	0.57	hist	no
Blanche	blanche	1	1	1	1	Y	0.5	hist	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	12	8	0.67	YYYYYnnYnn	0.5	hist	no
Republican	republican	1	42	21	0.5	nYYnYnYYnn	0.5	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	19	9	0.47	nnnYnnnYYY	0.47	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	31	15	0.48	nYYnYYYnYn	0.44	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	1	20	12	0.6	YnYnYYYnnY	0.42	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	19	10	0.53	YnnYnYnYnn	0.39	hist	no
Ballroom / Pool	ballroom|pool	1	2	0	0	nn	0.3	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	32	7	0.22	nnnnnYnnYn	0.26	hist	no
Pirro / Burgum	burgum|pirro	1	0	0			0.38	prior	yes