# The Last Word (the-last-word) · tv_episode 2026-04-14 · 12 words · K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26APR14 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:19:02Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-14 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26APR14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mark Warner says {word} as part of The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	22	15	0.68	YYnnnYYYnY	0.57	hist	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	1	1	1	Y	0.44	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	6	3	0.5	YnnnYY	0.43	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	0	0			0.35	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	yes
Democracy	democracy	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
Election	election	8	1	0.12	Ynnnnnnn	0.21	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	11	1	0.09	nYnnnnnnnn	0.19	hist	yes
Blockade	blockade	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
Ceasefire	ceasefire	0	0			0.35	prior	no
Nuclear	nuclear	0	0			0.35	prior	no
Pope	pope	0	0			0.35	prior	yes