# The Last Word (the-last-word) · tv_episode 2026-04-07 · 11 words · K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26APR07 · as_of 2026-10-24T22:19:51Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-07 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26APR07 ({word} = w of K rows): If Chris Van Hollen says {word} as part of The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	21	14	0.67	YYYnnnYYYn	0.59	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	13	8	0.62	nYYYYnYYnY	0.51	hist	no
Constitutional / Constitution / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	4	1	0.25	nYnn	0.44	hist	no
ICE / DHS	dhs|ice	1	0	0	n	0.44	hist	no
Republican	republican	19	7	0.37	YnnYnYnnnY	0.37	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	5	2	0.4	YnnnY	0.31	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	12	2	0.17	nnnnnnYnnY	0.31	hist	no
Iran	iran	9	2	0.22	nnnnYYnnn	0.24	hist	yes
Election	election	7	1	0.14	Ynnnnnn	0.22	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	10	1	0.1	nnYnnnnnnn	0.16	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	0	0			0.28	prior	yes