# The Last Word (the-last-word) · tv_episode 2026-04-06 · 9 words · K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26APR06 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:19:02Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-06 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26APR06 ({word} = w of K rows): If Chris Deluzio says {word} as part of The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Trump	trump	20	14	0.7	YYYYnnnYYY	0.55	no
Tariff	tariff	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.37	no
Iran	iran	8	2	0.25	nnnnYYnn	0.32	no
Millionaire / Billionaire	billionaire|millionaire	0	0			0.32	no
Republican	republican	18	6	0.33	YYnnYnYnnn	0.31	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.3	yes
Election	election	6	1	0.17	Ynnnnn	0.24	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	11	1	0.09	nnnnnnnYnn	0.24	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	9	1	0.11	nnYnnnnnn	0.21	no